Independiente F.b.c. vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction
Match prediction
- The model gives Nacional Asuncion and the draw identical 45% shares, so the double-chance advice is the natural expression of a near-even split.
- Independiente's 10% win probability is the outlier, meaning the model sees their victory as the least likely single outcome.
- Both teams show 50% form and zero defence ratings, so recent results offer no clear separation to challenge the draw-or-away lean.
- Nacional's superior attack rating and goal share support their edge, though the draw's equal probability keeps the advice cautious rather than outright.
- Head-to-head history favours Nacional heavily, but those meetings are years old, so this trend only mildly reinforces the existing lean.
- Each side won its only sampled fixture with a clean sheet, a small sample that limits how much weight form can carry.
- Predicted winner
- Nacional Asuncion
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Nacional Asuncion
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Independiente F.b.c. | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Independiente F.b.c.
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Nacional Asuncion
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Nacional Asuncion 0–3 Independiente F.b.c. (08 Oct 2018)
- Independiente F.b.c. 2–2 Nacional Asuncion (23 Jul 2018)
- Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Independiente F.b.c. (20 Apr 2018)
- Independiente F.b.c. 0–3 Nacional Asuncion (10 Feb 2018)
- Nacional Asuncion 5–0 Independiente F.b.c. (04 Dec 2017)