Ind. Yumbo vs Tigres FC Prediction
· Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Ind. Yumbo or draw and -3.5 goals
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the away side's 10% keeps that outcome live.
- Ind. Yumbo's defensive score of 20 against Tigres' 80 is the sharpest split, supporting the home-or-draw lean despite Tigres' superior overall form.
- The lone head-to-head meeting ended 3-1 to Ind. Yumbo away, a small sample that nonetheless aligns with the model's home-side preference.
- Both attacks rate identically at 50, so the edge rests on defence and the draw-heavy home record rather than any scoring superiority.
- Ind. Yumbo's 25 of 26 matches under 3.5 goals and Tigres' perfect 32 of 32 make the -3.5 goals component the most robust part of the advice.
- Tigres' recent away wins with clean sheets show the 10% away probability is not negligible, qualifying rather than contradicting the double-chance selection.
- Predicted winner
- Ind. Yumbo
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Ind. Yumbo or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ind. Yumbo | Tigres FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Poisson | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ind. Yumbo
Recent form: DLDDWDWDWLLWLDDWDWLWWDWLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Tigres FC
Recent form: DWLDLLDDWWDLWWLWLLLLDLDWWWLWDWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Tigres FC 1–3 Ind. Yumbo (16 Feb 2026)