Imst vs Lochau Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Imst as the winner, yet its 45% home probability is matched exactly by a 45% draw probability, so the advice rests on a narrow edge rather than a clear separation, with Lochau at only 10%. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Imst's form (70.00) and defence (74.00) scores are strong and the Poisson split is lopsided at 95.00 to 5.00, but Lochau actually edges the attack metric 54.00 to 46.00, suggesting the visitors are not without a scoring route. Imst's eight-game record of five wins, one draw and two losses, including a five-match winning streak and five clean sheets, contrasts with Lochau's two wins, one draw and five losses, and the hosts' 0.30 goals-against average at home versus Lochau's 3.50 away average points to a significant defensive gap. However, Imst's recent last-five form is mixed rather than dominant, with two wins, a draw and two defeats, including a 0-2 loss at Hohenems and a 2-3 loss at Kitzbühel, which slightly tempers the strength of their overall profile. Lochau's last five are similarly poor, featuring a 7-0 away defeat at Dornbirn and a 1-3 loss at SK St. Johann, though their 3-2 home win over Wolfurt shows they can score when conditions suit them. Both teams have scored 12 goals across eight matches, but Lochau's defensive record is far worse at 22 conceded compared with Imst's six, and Lochau have kept no clean sheets while Imst have five, which is the clearest statistical basis for the home-side advice. The goals analysis adds nuance, as Imst's home matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in seven of eight and under 3.5 in all eight, while Lochau's away games have produced over 2.5 goals in four of eight and over 3.5 in one, hinting at a lower-scoring contest than the defensive mismatch alone might imply. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical comparison between these teams is available to support or challenge the prediction, and the goals comparison metrics for both sides are recorded as 0.00, meaning they contribute no signal here. Overall, the evidence broadly supports Imst as the more likely winner through form, defence and clean-sheet data, but the equal home and draw probabilities, Lochau's superior attack metric and Imst's uneven recent results mean the outcome should be treated as uncertain rather than assured.

Predicted winner

Imst

Betting advice

Winner : Imst

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.