Finland · Kansallinen Liiga

Ilves W vs KuPS W Prediction

Ilves W badgeIlves W vs KuPS W badgeKuPS W

Match prediction

  • KuPS W's 45% win probability and 45% draw probability justify the draw-or-away advice, while Ilves W's 10% makes a home win unlikely.
  • Ilves W's five straight defeats and 23 form score contrast sharply with KuPS W's 77, supporting the away side's stronger recent trajectory.
  • KuPS W's 85 defence score against Ilves W's 15 suggests the hosts will struggle to score enough to overturn the prediction.
  • Ilves W's 2.50 goals-against average versus KuPS W's 1.20 highlights a defensive gap that reinforces the away side's advantage.
  • KuPS W won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, though Ilves W's two away wins in that span show the fixture can still surprise.
  • The near-equal 45% win and draw probabilities mean the double chance is the safer expression of KuPS W's overall superiority.
Predicted winner
KuPS W
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or KuPS W
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorIlves WKuPS W
Form23.0%77.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence15.0%85.0%
Poisson27.0%73.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total29.2%70.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Ilves W

Recent form: LWLLLWWWWLLWDWLLLLLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

KuPS W

Recent form: DWWWWWWLWWLLLWLWWWWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. KuPS W 2–1 Ilves W (22 Aug 2026)
  2. KuPS W 2–4 Ilves W (12 Jul 2026)
  3. Ilves W 2–3 KuPS W (09 May 2026)
  4. KuPS W 8–0 Ilves W (17 Aug 2024)
  5. Ilves W 2–3 KuPS W (25 May 2024)
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