IFK Umeå vs Umea FF Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output points to Umea FF as the winner, with a “Combo Winner : Umea FF and +1.5 goals” advice and probabilities of 0% home, 50% draw and 50% away, so the away side is favoured but not overwhelmingly. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Umea FF leads on form (86.00 vs 14.00), attack (75.00 vs 25.00), defence (61.00 vs 39.00), Poisson (77.00 vs 23.00), head-to-head (100.00 vs 0.00), goals (100.00 vs 0.00) and total (74.80 vs 25.30), yet the 50% draw probability suggests the model still sees a meaningful chance of dropped points. The team analysis reinforces the gap: IFK Umeå have 1 win, 2 draws and 16 losses from 19 matches, including a 10-match losing streak and no clean sheets, while Umea FF have 5 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses, with 2 clean sheets and only 1 failure to score. The goals analysis adds a further qualification, because IFK Umeå concede 3.20 goals per game and have seen over 2.5 goals in 13 of 19 matches, whereas Umea FF score 1.90 per game and have gone over 2.5 goals in only 5 of 19, so the +1.5 goals element looks better supported than a high-scoring blowout. The last-five records are mixed for Umea FF, who lost 4-2 away to Umeå FC Akademi, lost 3-0 at home to Storfors and lost 3-2 away to Fransta, but beat Friska Viljor 4-1 away and IFK Umeå 4-0 at home, showing both vulnerability and the ability to score heavily. IFK Umeå’s last five are even weaker, with a 1-1 draw at Storfors followed by 4-0, 3-2, 5-1 and 4-0 defeats, and their 0-4 loss to Umea FF on 21 August is the only head-to-head record available. That single head-to-head result strongly supports the away win and the goals advice, but it is a small sample and should not be treated as decisive on its own. Overall, the evidence aligns with the existing Umea FF selection and the +1.5 goals line, while the 50% draw probability and Umea FF’s recent three defeats in five suggest the outcome is far from certain.

Predicted winner

Umea FF

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Umea FF and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Umea FF 4–0 IFK Umeå (21 Aug 2026)