Sweden · Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance despite no clear favourite.
- IFK Luleå's stronger recent form and attack-defence ratings support the home side's inclusion in the advice.
- Skellefteå's superior head-to-head record and Poisson edge caution against backing a home win outright.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles and tight goal differences make a draw a plausible component of the double chance.
- Skellefteå's solid away defence and clean sheets suggest they can avoid defeat, reinforcing the draw's 45% weight.
- The narrow gap between home and away total ratings indicates the double chance hedge is more reliable than a single winner.
- Predicted winner
- IFK Luleå
- Betting advice
- Double chance : IFK Luleå or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | IFK Luleå | Skellefteå |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Poisson | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
IFK Luleå
Recent form: WWWWDWLWWLWLWWLLLWWWLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Skellefteå
Recent form: WDWWDLWWWDWWWWWWDDDLLWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Skellefteå 3–1 IFK Luleå (15 Aug 2026)
- IFK Luleå 0–1 Skellefteå (27 Jun 2026)
- Skellefteå 2–3 IFK Luleå (16 May 2026)
- IFK Luleå 2–2 Skellefteå (05 Oct 2025)
- Skellefteå 3–1 IFK Luleå (16 Aug 2025)