Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IF Karlstad II vs Tord Prediction
Match prediction
- Tord's far stronger recent form and superior attack and defence metrics justify the model's 45% away win probability over Karlstad's 10%.
- The equal 45% draw probability explains why the advice hedges with double chance rather than backing Tord outright.
- Karlstad's 14.00 form score reflects a long winless run, supporting the low 10% home win probability.
- The single head-to-head draw and level goals comparison reinforce the draw risk embedded in the advice.
- Both teams' high goals-against averages suggest a leaky contest, though the model offers no under/over guidance.
- Tord's modest three wins in 23 matches, despite better form, keeps the outright win probability below 50%.
- Predicted winner
- Tord
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Tord
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | IF Karlstad II | Tord |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| Attack | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 38.3% | 61.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
IF Karlstad II
Recent form: DDWLLLDLLWLDLLLLDDLDLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Tord
Recent form: DDDLLDDDLLLDLDWLDLWLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Tord 1–1 IF Karlstad II (13 Jun 2026)