IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities make the double-chance advice internally consistent, since only a 10% away win would defeat it.
- Elfsborg's superior form and defensive scores, alongside a perfect Poisson rating, support the home side's edge despite Hacken's stronger attack.
- Hacken's away record shows no wins from one away fixture, reinforcing why the model assigns them only a 10% win probability.
- Head-to-head is split evenly, but recent meetings include draws and away wins, which qualifies the home advantage rather than confirming it.
- Elfsborg's goals cluster late while Hacken concede heavily in the opening and closing periods, suggesting a tight rather than one-sided contest.
- Both teams' low-scoring tendencies, with most matches under 2.5 goals, support the draw component of the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- IF Elfsborg
- Betting advice
- Double chance : IF Elfsborg or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | IF Elfsborg | BK Hacken |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Attack | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Defence | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Total | 54.4% | 45.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
IF Elfsborg
Recent form: LLWLLWWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
BK Hacken
Recent form: WLWWLWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- IF Elfsborg 1–1 BK Hacken (25 May 2026)
- BK Hacken 1–2 IF Elfsborg (03 Aug 2025)
- IF Elfsborg 0–2 BK Hacken (06 Jul 2025)
- IF Elfsborg 5–1 BK Hacken (06 Dec 2024)
- IF Elfsborg 1–3 BK Hacken (19 Oct 2024)