Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Formentera Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 35-35-35 split makes the double-chance advice a low-risk hedge rather than a confident home win.
- Ibiza's superior form and perfect unbeaten record support the home side of that double chance.
- Formentera's stronger attack and head-to-head edge explain why the model cannot separate the sides outright.
- Both teams concede only 0.50 goals per game, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Neither side has seen a match exceed 3.5 goals this season, giving the goals line solid statistical backing.
- Formentera's tendency to draw away from home further justifies covering the draw within the advice.
- Predicted winner
- Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Ibiza Islas Pitiusas or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Formentera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Recent form: WWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Formentera
Recent form: DWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Formentera 0–0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (10 Sep 2025)
- Formentera 0–0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (26 Mar 2023)
- Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1–2 Formentera (06 Nov 2022)
- Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2–1 Formentera (23 Jan 2022)
- Formentera 2–1 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (05 Sep 2021)


