Hvězda Cheb vs Štětí Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the equal split signals genuine uncertainty rather than clear away dominance.
• Hvězda Cheb's 10% win probability aligns with six losses in eight matches and no clean sheets, supporting the exclusion of a home victory.
• Štětí's superior form, attack, and defence ratings contrast with a near-even Poisson split, suggesting the model sees the matchup as tighter than season aggregates imply.
• Both teams concede heavily, with Hvězda Cheb averaging 3.8 goals against and Štětí 3.3 away, reinforcing the +2.5 goals component of the advice.
• Štětí's away record of zero wins in three matches tempers the double-chance confidence, making the draw leg more valuable than the away win alone.
• The head-to-head history is extreme and small-sample, including a 7-0 and a 5-0, so it supports goals more reliably than it supports either winner.

Predicted winner

Štětí

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Štětí and +2.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Hvězda Cheb 0–0 Štětí (16 Mar 2024)
2. Štětí 5–0 Hvězda Cheb (19 Aug 2023)
3. Štětí 2–1 Hvězda Cheb (29 Apr 2023)
4. Hvězda Cheb 0–7 Štětí (01 Oct 2022)