Poland · II Liga - East

Hutnik Kraków vs Tychy 71 Prediction

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Hutnik Kraków badgeHutnik Kraków vs Tychy 71 badgeTychy 71

Match prediction

  • Tychy's unbeaten nine-match record and superior defensive rating explain why the model gives them a 45% win probability and frames the double chance as the safer play.
  • Hutnik's attack matches Tychy's, but their weak defence rating and 1.80 away goals-against average expose the vulnerability behind the low 10% home win probability.
  • The draw also carries 45%, reflecting Tychy's five draws and Hutnik's home resilience, so the draw-or-away advice covers the two most likely outcomes.
  • Hutnik's strong home record of three wins and no losses qualifies the away lean, since their Poisson edge suggests the venue could keep this closer than the probabilities imply.
  • Both teams' recent matches and season goal totals lean heavily under 2.5, supporting a low-scoring contest consistent with the draw component of the advice.
  • The single friendly head-to-head draw offers little predictive weight, so the model's lean rests mainly on Tychy's form and defensive superiority rather than historical precedent.
Predicted winner
Tychy 71
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Tychy 71
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorHutnik KrakówTychy 71
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence18.0%82.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total45.3%54.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Hutnik Kraków

Recent form: DWWWDWLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Tychy 71

Recent form: WWDDWDWDD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Tychy 71 3–3 Hutnik Kraków (13 Jan 2024)
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