Oberliga - Mittelrhein · Germany
Hürth vs Chlodwig Zulpich Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Hürth a 45% home win probability and the draw another 45%, leaving Chlodwig Zulpich only 10%, which is why the advice is a double chance on Hürth or the draw rather than a straight home win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Chlodwig Zulpich actually lead on form (55.00 vs 45.00) and attack (75.00 vs 25.00), while Hürth dominate defence (82.00 vs 18.00) and the Poisson measure (100.00 vs 0.00). The overall totals are nearly level at 50.70 against 49.30, so the model's edge for Hürth rests mainly on defensive solidity rather than a clear all-round superiority. Hürth's four league games produced a DDWL record with three clean sheets and only three goals scored, reflecting a low-event, hard-to-beat profile that fits the draw-heavy probabilities. Chlodwig Zulpich's LWLW record is far more volatile: all nine of their goals came at home, where they won 5-2 and 4-3, while both away trips ended in defeat without scoring, including a 5-0 loss. Their goals analysis reinforces that split, with a 4.50 home scoring average against 0.00 away and a 4.50 away concession average against 2.50 at home, so their attacking comparison score looks inflated by venue. Hürth's own goals analysis shows a 1.00 home scoring average and a 0.00 home concession average, meaning they have yet to concede at home but have also failed to score in two of four matches. The last-five records confirm these patterns, with Hürth drawing 0-0 twice and losing 3-1 and 3-0 away, while Chlodwig Zulpich's away defeats were 5-0 and 4-0. No head-to-head record is available, so the 0.00 h2h values provide no separating evidence and the prediction rests on form, defence and venue splits alone.
- Predicted winner
- Hürth
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Hürth or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Hürth | Chlodwig Zulpich |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Attack | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Defence | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Hürth
Recent form: DDWL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Chlodwig Zulpich
Recent form: LWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.