Oberliga - Hessen · Germany

Hünfelder SV vs Baunatal Prediction

Hünfelder SV badgeHünfelder SV vs Baunatal badgeBaunatal

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Hünfelder SV via a double chance of win or draw, assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for Baunatal, so the advice effectively treats the away side as a marginal threat. That caution is partly undercut by the comparison metrics, where form is level at 50.00 for both teams and Baunatal actually holds the attacking edge (54.00 versus 46.00), while Hünfelder's stronger defence (57.00 versus 43.00) and much higher Poisson rating (64.00 versus 36.00) pull in the opposite direction. The head-to-head split is the most lopsided input, with Hünfelder at 80.00 and Baunatal at 20.00, and the goals comparison (58.00 versus 42.00, total 59.20 versus 40.80) reinforces that historical and scoring-based view. Season form tells a similar story: Hünfelder have six wins, one draw and three losses from ten, including a four-match winning streak, whereas Baunatal have just two wins, three draws and five losses. Hünfelder's goals analysis shows 19 scored at 1.90 per game and 13 conceded at 1.30, with a notable away scoring average of 2.40, while Baunatal have scored only 11 at 1.10 per game and conceded 17 at 1.70, leaving them with a negative goal profile. The last-five records add nuance rather than clarity, as Hünfelder have two wins, one draw and two losses in that span, and Baunatal also have two wins, one draw and two losses, including a 0-0 draw at Bayern Alzenau and a 3-2 away win at TuBa Pohlheim. The head-to-head record is genuinely mixed across ten meetings, with Hünfelder winning four, Baunatal winning five and one match unplayed, so the 80/20 split reflects a broader historical lean rather than recent dominance. Because the form and attack metrics are close or even favour Baunatal, the double chance looks more like a hedge against a competitive away side than a statement of clear superiority, and the 45% draw probability suggests the model itself sees a tight contest.

Predicted winner
Hünfelder SV
Betting advice
Double chance : Hünfelder SV or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorHünfelder SVBaunatal
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack46.0%54.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson64.0%36.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total59.2%40.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Hünfelder SV

Recent form: WLWWWWDLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Baunatal

Recent form: LDLDLLWWLD.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Baunatal 1–2 Hünfelder SV (28 Feb 2026)
  2. Hünfelder SV 3–1 Baunatal (01 Aug 2025)
  3. Baunatal 1–3 Hünfelder SV (08 Mar 2025)
  4. Hünfelder SV 3–2 Baunatal (24 Aug 2024)
  5. Baunatal 3–0 Hünfelder SV (01 Jun 2024)
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