Humpolec vs Chotebor Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a double chance on Humpolec or draw, but its own probabilities are nearly flat at 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, so the advice reflects a marginal edge rather than a clear favourite. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Chotebor lead form 70 to 30 and attack 67 to 33, while Humpolec counter with a 60 to 40 Poisson edge and a 67 to 33 goals profile, leaving the overall totals almost level at 47.70 against 52.30. The head-to-head split is perfectly even at 50/50, and the two meetings point in opposite directions: Humpolec won 3-0 at home in August 2025, but Chotebor took the March 2026 return 2-1, so there is no consistent historical pattern to separate them. Humpolec's form string of DDLLLLW and a four-match losing streak sit awkwardly beside their one win in seven, yet their defensive numbers are comparatively stable, conceding 1.40 per game overall with 2.00 at home and 1.00 away. Chotebor's LDLLWDW shows two wins and two draws from seven, but their defensive record is volatile, averaging 2.30 conceded overall and 3.30 away, including an 8-1 loss, which is the kind of outlier that can distort a small sample. Their goal data also split sharply: Chotebor score more overall at 1.30 per game against Humpolec's 0.90, yet Humpolec have kept no clean sheets while Chotebor have two, and both sides have failed to score three times. The last-five records echo this inconsistency, with Humpolec losing four of five and scoring just twice in that run, while Chotebor mixed a 4-2 win and a 2-0 away win with two defeats and a goalless draw. Because the underlying evidence is mixed and the samples are only seven league games plus two head-to-head meetings, the double chance on Humpolec or draw looks like a hedge against uncertainty rather than a strongly supported call.

Predicted winner

Humpolec

Betting advice

Double chance : Humpolec or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Chotebor 2–1 Humpolec (22 Mar 2026)
2. Humpolec 3–0 Chotebor (16 Aug 2025)