HT16 vs Teutonia Ottensen Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the low 10% away share still leaves a narrow upset path.
- HT16's attack and defence ratings trail Ottensen's, yet the Poisson split of 81 to 19 strongly favours the home side.
- HT16's home record of three wins from four, including two 5-1 victories, supports the home-leaning double chance.
- Ottensen's away form is volatile, conceding six at Altona and three at Paloma, which undermines their attacking rating.
- Both head-to-head meetings were won by the away side, a small sample that conflicts with the model's home preference.
- HT16's home matches average 3.5 goals scored, making the +1.5 goals component of the advice well supported.
- Predicted winner
- HT16
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : HT16 or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | HT16 | Teutonia Ottensen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
HT16
Recent form: LLWWLWLWD.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Teutonia Ottensen
Recent form: WLLDWLLDW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Teutonia Ottensen 0–2 HT16 (28 Feb 2026)
- HT16 2–4 Teutonia Ottensen (14 Sep 2025)