Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W Prediction
· Shell Energy Stadium
Match prediction
- Washington's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics justify the away win probability, but the equally high draw probability explains the double-chance advice.
- Houston's poor recent run of three losses in five, including home defeat to Utah, weakens their case despite playing at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Washington's strong away record of eight wins and only two losses supports their favouritism, though recent home loss to Boston shows inconsistency.
- Head-to-head heavily favours Washington with 100% away record, but Houston's two home wins in this fixture suggest the draw remains a live threat.
- Both teams average low goals, with under 2.5 hitting in 22 of 26 matches each, reinforcing that a tight, low-scoring game could end level.
- Washington's late goals conceded (39% in 76-90) and Houston's late scoring threat (29% in 76-90) suggest a late equaliser could deny the away win.
- Predicted winner
- Washington Spirit W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Washington Spirit W
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Houston Dash W | Washington Spirit W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Poisson | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 18.0% | 82.0% |
| Total | 33.2% | 66.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Houston Dash W
Recent form: WWLWLDLLLDWLLDDWLDWWLLLLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Washington Spirit W
Recent form: LDDDWWWWWLWWWLWWWLLDLWWLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Washington Spirit W 2–1 Houston Dash W (04 Jul 2026)
- Washington Spirit W 4–0 Houston Dash W (28 Sep 2025)
- Houston Dash W 1–2 Washington Spirit W (15 Mar 2025)
- Washington Spirit W 3–0 Houston Dash W (15 Sep 2024)
- Houston Dash W 1–3 Washington Spirit W (13 Apr 2024)