Honvéd II vs III. Kerületi TUE Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the home side carries only a 10% win probability.
• III. Kerületi's eight wins in nine matches, including five straight, sharply contrasts with Honvéd II's two wins, supporting the away-leaning prediction.
• Honvéd II's attack rating of 74 exceeds III. Kerületi's 26, yet that edge is largely inflated by an 8-1 home win and collapses to 0.80 goals per away game.
• III. Kerületi's defensive record of three goals conceded in nine matches, with eight clean sheets, explains why the model caps Honvéd II's win probability so low.
• The head-to-head record favors III. Kerületi heavily, including a 3-0 win and a 4-0 friendly, though the 2025 goalless draw shows Honvéd II can occasionally hold them.
• Both sides' goal totals cluster under 2.5, so the double chance rests on III. Kerületi's defensive control rather than an expectation of a high-scoring away win.

Predicted winner

III. Kerületi TUE

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or III. Kerületi TUE

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. III. Kerületi TUE 3–0 Honvéd II (03 May 2026)
2. Honvéd II 0–0 III. Kerületi TUE (19 Oct 2025)
3. Honvéd II 0–4 III. Kerületi TUE (23 Jul 2023)