Hong Kong vs Cambodia Prediction
· Kai Tak Sports Park
Match prediction
- Hong Kong's perfect home record with two clean sheets and six goals scored supports the home-winner advice, though the even 50-50 probabilities signal limited separation.
- Cambodia's away form shows defensive vulnerability with two goals conceded per away match, reinforcing Hong Kong's attacking edge at home.
- The head-to-head record favors Hong Kong overall, but Cambodia's recent 2-0 win over them in June 2026 is a meaningful counterweight.
- Hong Kong's last five include two losses, indicating their strong home form may not fully translate against tougher opposition like Cambodia.
- Cambodia's draw and win in their last two matches suggest they arrive in reasonable form, qualifying the confidence behind a Hong Kong win.
- The model's 50% draw probability alongside 50% home win reflects genuine uncertainty, so the winner advice carries moderate rather than strong conviction.
- Predicted winner
- Hong Kong
- Betting advice
- Winner : Hong Kong
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Hong Kong | Cambodia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Hong Kong
Recent form: WW.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Cambodia
Recent form: WD.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Cambodia 2–0 Hong Kong (09 Jun 2026)
- Hong Kong 1–1 Cambodia (13 Nov 2025)
- Hong Kong 3–0 Cambodia (15 Oct 2024)
- Cambodia 1–1 Hong Kong (07 Sep 2023)
- Cambodia 0–3 Hong Kong (11 Jun 2022)