World · CONCACAF Nations League
Honduras vs Jamaica Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Jamaica
Match prediction
- Jamaica's superior form, attack, defence and head-to-head metrics support the double-chance advice, though the model splits win and draw probability evenly at 45 percent each.
- Honduras' home form is weak, losing their only home fixture 2-3, which reinforces Jamaica's edge despite Honduras winning the most recent meeting 1-0.
- Jamaica's away record includes a clean-sheet win and no away defeats, strengthening the case for avoiding a Honduras win.
- Honduras failed to score in none of their matches but concede heavily at home, suggesting both teams carry scoring threat.
- The narrow 1-0 Honduras win in September shows Jamaica's dominance is not absolute, justifying the draw protection within the advice.
- Small samples of three fixtures each limit certainty, so the near-even win and draw probabilities make double chance the safer expression.
- Predicted winner
- Jamaica
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Jamaica
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Honduras | Jamaica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Total | 36.4% | 64.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Honduras
Recent form: LWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Jamaica
Recent form: WLW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Jamaica 0–1 Honduras (29 Sep 2026)
- Jamaica 0–0 Honduras (15 Oct 2024)
- Honduras 1–2 Jamaica (11 Sep 2024)
- Jamaica 1–0 Honduras (09 Sep 2023)
- Jamaica 2–1 Honduras (31 Mar 2022)