3. liga - MSFL · Czech-Republic

Hodonín vs Vsetín Prediction

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Hodonín badgeHodonín vs Vsetín badgeVsetín

Current score: Hodonín 1–0 Vsetín (Second Half)

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Hodonín via a double-chance call, with home and draw each at 45% against Vsetín's 10%, so the advice effectively treats a Hodonín defeat as the only clearly unlikely outcome. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Hodonín's head-to-head score of 91 versus 9 and goals score of 77 versus 23 are strongly one-sided, and the overall totals of 59.70 against 40.30 point the same way. However, the same metrics contain a real tension: Vsetín lead form 54 to 46, attack 70 to 30 and Poisson 55 to 45, meaning the model's own inputs are not uniformly pro-Hodonín. The team analysis helps reconcile this, since Hodonín's 2-2-5 record and Vsetín's 2-1-6 record are similarly poor, but Vsetín's six-match losing streak and heavy defeats such as 0-5 and 5-0 suggest a more fragile profile than Hodonín's sequence of LDLDLWLLW. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast, with Vsetín conceding 2.40 per game overall and 2.60 at home, while Hodonín concede 1.30 and score only 0.90, so Hodonín's defensive edge is clearer than their attacking one. Hodonín's last five show three defeats and two 1-0 or 2-0 wins, including a 1-0 away win at Zbrojovka Brno II, whereas Vsetín's last five include a 3-0 away win and a 2-2 draw but also a 5-0 loss, indicating both recent samples are volatile. The head-to-head record is the strongest single strand for the advice, with Hodonín winning 2-0 away in May 2026 and 4-2 at home in September 2025, plus a 4-1 away win in 2019, although the 2020 fixture has no score and the older results come from a different division. Overall, the double chance looks like a reasonable hedge rather than a confident home win, because Hodonín's head-to-head and defensive numbers support avoiding defeat while Vsetín's superior form, attack and Poisson ratings keep a draw or an upset plausible.

Predicted winner
Hodonín
Betting advice
Double chance : Hodonín or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorHodonínVsetín
Form46.0%54.0%
Attack30.0%70.0%
Defence69.0%31.0%
Poisson45.0%55.0%
H2h91.0%9.0%
Goals77.0%23.0%
Total59.7%40.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Hodonín

Recent form: LDLDLWLLW.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Vsetín

Recent form: LLLLLLWWD.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vsetín 0–2 Hodonín (02 May 2026)
  2. Hodonín 4–2 Vsetín (27 Sep 2025)
  3. Hodonín —–— Vsetín (21 Mar 2020)
  4. Vsetín 1–4 Hodonín (10 Aug 2019)
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