HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward HNK Cibalia via a double chance at 45% home and 45% draw against only 10% for Dugopolje, and the accompanying advice pairs that with under 3.5 goals, so the central question is whether the evidence supports a low-scoring, non-losing home outcome. The comparison metrics are genuinely mixed: Dugopolje hold the better form score (53 vs 47) and a much stronger attack rating (67 vs 33), while Cibalia's defence (70 vs 30) and Poisson rating (62 vs 38) point the other way, with head-to-head, goals and total all essentially level. That tension matters because Cibalia's team analysis shows a WDDDDW sequence with four draws and no defeats in six matches, yet only two wins and two failures to score at home, suggesting a side that is hard to beat but not especially potent. Dugopolje's DWDDLW record is similarly draw-heavy with three draws and one away loss, and their goals analysis shows 1.50 scored and 1.30 conceded per game, so they carry more attacking threat than Cibalia's 1.00 goals-for average but also leak more at the back. The goal-timing data reinforce the under 3.5 case: Cibalia have stayed under 2.5 and 3.5 goals in all six matches, and Dugopolje have done the same for 3.5, with their only over-2.5 match being a single 3-2 home win. Recent form adds a cautionary note, since Cibalia's last five include a 2-1 away win at Sesvete but also a 0-1 loss to Vukovar and three goalless or one-goal draws, while Dugopolje's last five feature a 3-2 home win over Dinamo Zagreb U21, a 1-2 away defeat at Segesta Sisak and two draws. The head-to-head record is the most awkward evidence for the home side, as Dugopolje won the two most recent meetings 2-1 on their own ground, although Cibalia won the last meeting at this venue 1-0 and the wider ten-match series is balanced at 50-50 in the comparison metrics. Overall, the low-scoring trend and Cibalia's unbeaten-but-draw-prone profile broadly align with a double chance plus under 3.5 goals, but Dugopolje's superior attack rating and recent head-to-head wins are real qualifications that make the 45% draw share look at least as plausible as a home victory.

Predicted winner

HNK Cibalia

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : HNK Cibalia or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Dugopolje 2–1 HNK Cibalia (04 May 2026)
2. Dugopolje 2–1 HNK Cibalia (14 Mar 2026)
3. HNK Cibalia 1–0 Dugopolje (19 Oct 2025)
4. Dugopolje 1–1 HNK Cibalia (31 May 2025)
5. HNK Cibalia 2–1 Dugopolje (22 Feb 2025)