Hønefoss W vs Bodø / Glimt W Prediction

Match prediction

• The model rates home and draw equally at 45%, so the double chance advice reflects near-certain avoidance of an away win rather than confidence in a home victory.
• Bodø/Glimt's 10% win probability aligns with a defence conceding 3.8 goals per game and a 13-loss record, making an away victory the least supported outcome.
• Hønefoss's superior defensive and Poisson metrics, plus a 71-29 head-to-head edge, support the home side's inclusion in the double chance.
• Hønefoss's modest attack and recent low-scoring form, including a 0-0 draw with Røa, explain why the draw carries equal weight to a home win.
• Bodø/Glimt's one win all season and heavy away defeats, including 9-0 and 7-1, reinforce that the away side is unlikely to prevail.
• Both teams' low scoring averages and Hønefoss's tendency toward draws suggest a tight, low-goal match consistent with the cautious double chance advice.

Predicted winner

Hønefoss W

Betting advice

Double chance : Hønefoss W or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Bodø / Glimt W 0–0 Hønefoss W (20 Mar 2026)
2. Hønefoss W 3–2 Bodø / Glimt W (02 Nov 2025)
3. Hønefoss W 0–1 Bodø / Glimt W (24 May 2025)
4. Bodø / Glimt W 1–2 Hønefoss W (25 Apr 2025)
5. Bodø / Glimt W 0–5 Hønefoss W (16 Nov 2024)