Norway · NM Cupen

Hønefoss vs KFUM Oslo Prediction

Hønefoss badgeHønefoss vs KFUM Oslo badgeKFUM Oslo

Match prediction

  • KFUM Oslo's perfect head-to-head and defensive record, plus a 4-0 cup win, justify the model's 45% away win probability over Honefoss's 10%.
  • The draw also carries 45%, so the combo double chance correctly hedges the away lean rather than backing a single outcome.
  • Both teams won their latest cup ties by scoring four, supporting the +1.5 goals advice despite small one-match samples.
  • Honefoss's last five show consistent scoring but leaky defence, while KFUM's mixed league form includes heavy defeats, tempering any away dominance.
  • KFUM's goals cluster early and Honefoss concede late, suggesting goals across the match rather than one-sided control.
  • With form and attack metrics level, the edge rests on defence and head-to-head, which the probabilities already reflect.
Predicted winner
KFUM Oslo
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or KFUM Oslo and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorHønefossKFUM Oslo
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence0.0%100.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals20.0%80.0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Hønefoss

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.

KFUM Oslo

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Hønefoss 1–4 KFUM Oslo (24 May 2023)
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