4. liga - Divizie C · Czech-Republic
Hlinsko vs Vysoké Mýto Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Vysoké Mýto a 45% away win and Hlinsko only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, so the double-chance advice toward draw or Vysoké Mýto reflects a clear but not overwhelming lean rather than a decisive edge. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Vysoké Mýto leads on form (59 vs 41), attack (64 vs 36), Poisson (57 vs 43), head-to-head (80 vs 20), goals (76 vs 24) and total (64.30 vs 35.70), while defence is the one category split evenly at 50–50. The team analysis supports the same direction but with a caveat: Vysoké Mýto are unbeaten across seven matches (five wins, two draws, no losses), whereas Hlinsko have four wins, one draw and two defeats, including a 5-0 away loss that shows their vulnerability. Hlinsko's goals profile is relatively modest, averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, and their home record is actually strong with three wins and a draw from four home games, which qualifies the away-side confidence. Vysoké Mýto's attacking output is much higher at 3.40 goals per game, driven by 4.30 at home and 2.30 away, and they have scored in every match, though their 2.00 home concession rate suggests they are not airtight defensively. The last-five records sharpen this contrast: Hlinsko have three wins and two losses, including a 6-0 away win at Svitavy but also that 5-0 defeat at Přepeře, while Vysoké Mýto have four wins and a draw, scoring seven against Slavia Hradec Králové and keeping two clean sheets. The head-to-head record is the strongest single signal for the advice, with Vysoké Mýto winning six of the last ten meetings, including a 3-0 home win in April 2026 and a 2-1 away win in September 2025, although Hlinsko did win 1-0 at home in May 2025. Taken together, the evidence supports the draw-or-Vysoké Mýto advice through form, attack, goals and head-to-head, but Hlinsko's solid home record and the even defensive comparison mean the 45% draw probability is a meaningful part of the model's output rather than a formality.
- Predicted winner
- Vysoké Mýto
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Vysoké Mýto
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Hlinsko | Vysoké Mýto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Attack | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| Total | 35.7% | 64.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Hlinsko
Recent form: DWWWLWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Vysoké Mýto
Recent form: WDWWDWW.
Average goals scored: 3.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Vysoké Mýto 3–0 Hlinsko (25 Apr 2026)
- Hlinsko 1–2 Vysoké Mýto (27 Sep 2025)
- Hlinsko 1–0 Vysoké Mýto (04 May 2025)
- Vysoké Mýto 4–2 Hlinsko (05 Oct 2024)
- Vysoké Mýto 4–0 Hlinsko (03 Aug 2024)


