HJK Helsinki vs VPS Prediction
· Bolt Arena
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : HJK Helsinki or draw
HJK Helsinki vs 
VPS
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome dominates.
- HJK's superior attack and head-to-head metrics align with the home side being favoured, though VPS's stronger defence narrows that edge.
- VPS's recent form includes three losses in five, yet their low-scoring matches suggest they can frustrate HJK and raise draw risk.
- HJK's last five produced only one win, so their modest current form supports the cautious double-chance advice over backing them outright.
- Both teams' goal profiles lean heavily under 2.5, implying a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw remains a realistic outcome.
- HJK's home record of seven wins from twelve supports the home side, but VPS's away resilience keeps the draw probability equally weighted.
- Predicted winner
- HJK Helsinki
- Betting advice
- Double chance : HJK Helsinki or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | HJK Helsinki | VPS |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
HJK Helsinki
Recent form: WLWDDWLDLWWDWLLWWLWWLWWDD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
VPS
Recent form: DDLWWDDWLDWWDWWLLLWLWLWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- HJK Helsinki 2–1 VPS (18 Jul 2026)
- VPS 2–1 HJK Helsinki (22 May 2026)
- VPS 0–2 HJK Helsinki (05 Jul 2025)
- HJK Helsinki 3–1 VPS (26 Apr 2025)
- VPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki (20 Sep 2024)