Oberliga - Westfalen · Germany

Hiltrup vs Ennepetal Prediction

Hiltrup badgeHiltrup vs Ennepetal badgeEnnepetal

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a draw or an Ennepetal win, assigning 45% to each of those outcomes against only 10% for a Hiltrup victory, and the double-chance advice follows directly from that split. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Ennepetal hold the edge in attack (62 versus 38) and Poisson (58 versus 42), while form, head-to-head and goals are all level at 50-50 and the overall totals are nearly balanced at 47-53. The team records explain why the model avoids backing either side outright: Hiltrup have lost five of seven (LLLWDLL) with just one win, whereas Ennepetal are winless in seven but have drawn five (DLDDLDD), making them hard to beat yet unable to close games out. Hiltrup's goal profile is the weaker attacking one, averaging 0.70 scored per game and failing to score in three matches, though their defensive average of 2.40 conceded is less damaging than Ennepetal's 2.10 only in raw total terms. Ennepetal's numbers are skewed by a 1-6 home defeat and a 2.80 home goals-against average, yet their away defence is far tighter at 1.30 conceded, which matters for a fixture played at Hiltrup. The last-five records reinforce this tension, with Hiltrup taking one win, one draw and three defeats including a 7-0 loss at Sprockhovel, while Ennepetal drew four of five, twice by 2-2, and lost 1-6 to Victoria Clarholz. The head-to-head sample is small and split, with each side winning at home in 2025 — Ennepetal 1-0 in April and Hiltrup 2-1 the previous November — so it offers no clear directional signal and is consistent with the level 50-50 head-to-head metric. Taken together, the evidence supports the draw-or-Ennepetal advice mainly because Ennepetal's away resilience and Hiltrup's low scoring make a home win look least likely, but the high draw share and Ennepetal's own winless run mean this remains a genuinely uncertain, low-conviction read rather than a strong call.

Predicted winner
Ennepetal
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Ennepetal
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorHiltrupEnnepetal
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson42.0%58.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total47.0%53.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Hiltrup

Recent form: LLLWDLL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Ennepetal

Recent form: DLDDLDD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ennepetal 1–0 Hiltrup (19 Apr 2026)
  2. Hiltrup 2–1 Ennepetal (02 Nov 2025)
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