Hetman Zamosc vs Chełmianka Chełm Prediction

Match prediction

• Chełmianka's unbeaten ten-match record, including seven straight wins, justifies the model's heavy lean toward the away side.
• Hetman's attack ranks higher, but their weak defence and poor Poisson rating suggest scoring alone cannot offset Chełmianka's superiority.
• The draw probability matching the away win at 45% explains why the advice hedges with double chance rather than a straight away pick.
• Chełmianka's seven clean sheets and zero away goals conceded make Hetman's task of converting chances substantially harder.
• Recent head-to-head results favour Chełmianka, though the 2020 away loss shows this fixture can still produce upsets.
• Both sides' low-scoring tendencies support the cautious draw-or-away advice over a more aggressive outright win selection.

Predicted winner

Chełmianka Chełm

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Chełmianka Chełm

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Chełmianka Chełm 2–1 Hetman Zamosc (18 Jul 2026)
2. Chełmianka Chełm 4–0 Hetman Zamosc (28 May 2021)
3. Hetman Zamosc 2–7 Chełmianka Chełm (25 Nov 2020)