Hessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846 Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favorite reflects genuine uncertainty.
• Hessen Kassel's strong home record of three wins from five supports the home-leaning advice, while their zero away wins explains the caution against a straight victory.
• Ulm's winless league campaign with four draws in nine matches makes them hard to beat but unlikely to win, reinforcing the draw component of the advice.
• The head-to-head record favors Ulm 71 to 29, a meaningful counterweight that explains why the model stops short of backing a Kassel win outright.
• Kassel's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics all point one way, but the h2h split shows historical matchups can override current form.
• Both teams' low-scoring profiles, with most matches under 2.5 goals, suggest a tight contest where the draw leg of the double chance carries real value.

Predicted winner

Hessen Kassel

Betting advice

Double chance : Hessen Kassel or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Hessen Kassel 0–2 SSV Ulm 1846 (22 Apr 2023)
2. SSV Ulm 1846 3–0 Hessen Kassel (15 Oct 2022)
3. Hessen Kassel 0–0 SSV Ulm 1846 (05 Mar 2022)
4. SSV Ulm 1846 2–1 Hessen Kassel (19 Sep 2021)
5. Hessen Kassel 3–1 SSV Ulm 1846 (05 Jun 2021)