Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Herrestads vs Grebbestad Prediction

Herrestads badgeHerrestads vs Grebbestad badgeGrebbestad

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even probabilities, with draw and home both at 35%, justify the double-chance advice rather than a straight win.
  • Grebbestad's superior form, attack, and defence ratings conflict with Herrestads' stronger Poisson and head-to-head scores, explaining the balanced probabilities.
  • Herrestads' home record of six wins and only two losses supports the home side of the double chance despite weaker overall form.
  • Grebbestad's recent three straight wins and strong away scoring make them a genuine threat, so the draw component remains valuable insurance.
  • Herrestads' head-to-head edge is partly historical, since Grebbestad won the most recent meeting, weakening any expectation of a comfortable home win.
  • Both teams average 1.80 goals, and most matches stay under 2.5, suggesting a tight contest where avoiding defeat matters more than dominance.
Predicted winner
Herrestads
Betting advice
Double chance : Herrestads or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorHerrestadsGrebbestad
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack38.0%63.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson55.0%45.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals54.0%46.0%
Total49.5%50.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Herrestads

Recent form: LDDLWDWLDWWDLLWWDWWDLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Grebbestad

Recent form: DLLWWLLWWWLWWWWDLDLLWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Grebbestad 2–1 Herrestads (18 Apr 2026)
  2. Herrestads 1–1 Grebbestad (19 Sep 2025)
  3. Grebbestad 1–2 Herrestads (19 Jun 2025)
  4. Herrestads 1–0 Grebbestad (27 Sep 2024)
  5. Grebbestad 2–2 Herrestads (24 May 2024)
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