Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads vs Grebbestad Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's near-even probabilities, with draw and home both at 35%, justify the double-chance advice rather than a straight win.
- Grebbestad's superior form, attack, and defence ratings conflict with Herrestads' stronger Poisson and head-to-head scores, explaining the balanced probabilities.
- Herrestads' home record of six wins and only two losses supports the home side of the double chance despite weaker overall form.
- Grebbestad's recent three straight wins and strong away scoring make them a genuine threat, so the draw component remains valuable insurance.
- Herrestads' head-to-head edge is partly historical, since Grebbestad won the most recent meeting, weakening any expectation of a comfortable home win.
- Both teams average 1.80 goals, and most matches stay under 2.5, suggesting a tight contest where avoiding defeat matters more than dominance.
- Predicted winner
- Herrestads
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Herrestads or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Herrestads | Grebbestad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Total | 49.5% | 50.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Herrestads
Recent form: LDDLWDWLDWWDLLWWDWWDLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Grebbestad
Recent form: DLLWWLLWWWLWWWWDLDLLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Grebbestad 2–1 Herrestads (18 Apr 2026)
- Herrestads 1–1 Grebbestad (19 Sep 2025)
- Grebbestad 1–2 Herrestads (19 Jun 2025)
- Herrestads 1–0 Grebbestad (27 Sep 2024)
- Grebbestad 2–2 Herrestads (24 May 2024)


