Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Hércules vs Real Jaén Prediction

Hércules badgeHércules vs Real Jaén badgeReal Jaén

Match prediction

  • Real Jaén's superior attack and Poisson ratings, plus a stronger recent form line, underpin the model's clear lean toward the away side.
  • Hércules's home record of two losses without a draw in three matches weakens the home case and supports covering the draw alongside Real Jaén.
  • Both defences rate identically, so the edge rests on Real Jaén's greater scoring output rather than any clear defensive superiority.
  • Real Jaén's away form includes two clean sheets and a three-goal win, evidence their road performances justify the double-chance advice.
  • Hércules have won three straight yet lost both home fixtures, a split that makes the draw-or-away selection more prudent than backing either side alone.
  • The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests on current form and goal metrics, which consistently favour Real Jaén.
Predicted winner
Real Jaén
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Real Jaén
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorHérculesReal Jaén
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson17.0%83.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total38.0%62.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Hércules

Recent form: LLWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Real Jaén

Recent form: WDWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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