Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Hércules vs Real Jaén Prediction
Match prediction
- Real Jaén's superior attack and Poisson ratings, plus a stronger recent form line, underpin the model's clear lean toward the away side.
- Hércules's home record of two losses without a draw in three matches weakens the home case and supports covering the draw alongside Real Jaén.
- Both defences rate identically, so the edge rests on Real Jaén's greater scoring output rather than any clear defensive superiority.
- Real Jaén's away form includes two clean sheets and a three-goal win, evidence their road performances justify the double-chance advice.
- Hércules have won three straight yet lost both home fixtures, a split that makes the draw-or-away selection more prudent than backing either side alone.
- The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests on current form and goal metrics, which consistently favour Real Jaén.
- Predicted winner
- Real Jaén
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Real Jaén
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Hércules | Real Jaén |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Hércules
Recent form: LLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Real Jaén
Recent form: WDWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


