Hercules vs DVS 33 Ermelo Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away win and 45% draw split signals a close match, yet the combo advice still leans on DVS 33 Ermelo avoiding defeat.
- Hercules' 10% win probability aligns with a home record of zero wins from three and a defence conceding 3.7 goals per home game.
- DVS 33 Ermelo's head-to-head edge of 71% supports the away lean, though recent form of one win in five tempers that historical dominance.
- Both teams' defensive weaknesses, with Hercules conceding heavily at home and DVS 33 Ermelo rarely keeping clean sheets, make the +1.5 goals component well supported.
- The Poisson split of 84% away versus 16% home is the strongest single signal behind the prediction, outweighing Hercules' marginally better form score.
- Hercules' away form of two wins from four contrasts sharply with their home struggles, suggesting the venue rather than overall quality drives the away lean.
- Predicted winner
- DVS 33 Ermelo
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : DVS 33 Ermelo and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Hercules | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 16.0% | 84.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Hercules
Recent form: LLLLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
DVS 33 Ermelo
Recent form: LLDLDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- DVS 33 Ermelo 3–2 Hercules (21 Feb 2026)
- Hercules 0–2 DVS 33 Ermelo (20 Sep 2025)
- DVS 33 Ermelo 4–3 Hercules (24 May 2025)
- Hercules 4–4 DVS 33 Ermelo (14 Dec 2024)
- DVS 33 Ermelo 0–2 Hercules (03 Feb 2024)