Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Hennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II Prediction

Hennef 05 badgeHennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II badgeFortuna Köln II

Match prediction

  • The model's away win probability equals the draw probability at 45%, so the advice carries no margin over the stalemate outcome.
  • Fortuna Köln II's perfect head-to-head record and superior attack rating anchor the away lean despite Hennef hosting.
  • Hennef's attack rating of 33 against Fortuna's 67 suggests a clear quality gap that supports the away-side recommendation.
  • Fortuna's scoring is heavily home-weighted, with 11 of 12 goals at home, weakening the case for an away victory.
  • Hennef failed to score in three of five matches, a blunt attack that limits their capacity to punish Fortuna's leaky defence.
  • Fortuna's away form shows one loss and no clean sheets, so the 45% away probability may overstate their road reliability.
Predicted winner
Fortuna Köln II
Betting advice
Winner : Fortuna Köln II
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorHennef 05Fortuna Köln II
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence47.0%53.0%
Poisson36.0%64.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Hennef 05

Recent form: DWLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Fortuna Köln II

Recent form: WLWW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Fortuna Köln II 2–0 Hennef 05 (08 Mar 2026)
  2. Hennef 05 0–4 Fortuna Köln II (14 Sep 2025)
  3. Fortuna Köln II 2–0 Hennef 05 (25 May 2025)
  4. Hennef 05 0–1 Fortuna Köln II (10 Nov 2024)
  5. Hennef 05 0–5 Fortuna Köln II (24 Mar 2024)
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