Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein
Hennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's away win probability equals the draw probability at 45%, so the advice carries no margin over the stalemate outcome.
- Fortuna Köln II's perfect head-to-head record and superior attack rating anchor the away lean despite Hennef hosting.
- Hennef's attack rating of 33 against Fortuna's 67 suggests a clear quality gap that supports the away-side recommendation.
- Fortuna's scoring is heavily home-weighted, with 11 of 12 goals at home, weakening the case for an away victory.
- Hennef failed to score in three of five matches, a blunt attack that limits their capacity to punish Fortuna's leaky defence.
- Fortuna's away form shows one loss and no clean sheets, so the 45% away probability may overstate their road reliability.
- Predicted winner
- Fortuna Köln II
- Betting advice
- Winner : Fortuna Köln II
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Hennef 05 | Fortuna Köln II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Poisson | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Hennef 05
Recent form: DWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Fortuna Köln II
Recent form: WLWW.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Fortuna Köln II 2–0 Hennef 05 (08 Mar 2026)
- Hennef 05 0–4 Fortuna Köln II (14 Sep 2025)
- Fortuna Köln II 2–0 Hennef 05 (25 May 2025)
- Hennef 05 0–1 Fortuna Köln II (10 Nov 2024)
- Hennef 05 0–5 Fortuna Köln II (24 Mar 2024)


