Heimstetten vs Erlbach Prediction

Match prediction

• Erlbach's superior defensive record, conceding only six goals across twelve matches, underpins the model's 45% away win probability and the draw-or-Erlbach advice.
• Heimstetten's attack ranks higher than Erlbach's, yet their leaky defence concedes two goals per game, explaining why the model still limits their win chance to 10%.
• Erlbach's away form is notably weaker, with both defeats and three scoreless matches on the road, which justifies pairing the draw with the away win.
• The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced across six meetings, supporting the draw component of the double chance rather than a standalone away victory.
• Erlbach's recent form includes three clean sheets in five, while Heimstetten's last five produced just one win, reinforcing the visitors' edge.
• Heimstetten's goals-for average exceeds Erlbach's, but their defensive vulnerability against a disciplined side makes an outright home win unlikely.

Predicted winner

Erlbach

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Erlbach

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Heimstetten 3–2 Erlbach (18 Apr 2026)
2. Erlbach 0–2 Heimstetten (02 Oct 2025)
3. Erlbach 3–0 Heimstetten (09 Nov 2024)
4. Heimstetten 1–1 Erlbach (30 Jul 2024)
5. Heimstetten 1–2 Erlbach (02 Mar 2024)