Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia Prediction
· Dingnan Football Youth Training Center
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance despite Heilongjiang's poor recent form.
- Heilongjiang's 11 draws in 24 matches, including five at home, directly supports the draw component of the advice.
- Meizhou's 80% form score and three wins in 24 games conflict with the model's low 10% away probability.
- Heilongjiang's 93% head-to-head score reflects historical dominance, though the most recent meeting ended level.
- Both attacks rate equally at 50%, while Heilongjiang's superior defence and Poisson edge tilt the balance toward avoiding defeat.
- Meizhou's 2.10 goals-against average and seven failed-to-score games weaken their case for an away win.
- Predicted winner
- Heilongjiang Lava Spring
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | Meizhou Kejia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Recent form: WDDDWWDLDDLDLDLDLWDLLLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Meizhou Kejia
Recent form: LLWWLLLLWDDWLLWLLWLLDLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Meizhou Kejia 2–2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring (30 May 2026)
- Meizhou Kejia 2–3 Heilongjiang Lava Spring (06 Aug 2021)
- Heilongjiang Lava Spring 3–2 Meizhou Kejia (16 Jul 2021)
- Meizhou Kejia 1–2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring (19 Oct 2019)
- Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2–1 Meizhou Kejia (15 Jun 2019)