Second League · Bulgaria

Hebar 1918 vs Dobrudzha Prediction

· Stadion Georgi Benkovski

Hebar 1918 badgeHebar 1918 vs Dobrudzha badgeDobrudzha

Match prediction

The existing model output points to a Hebar 1918 win, with the probabilities split evenly at 50% home and 50% draw and no away probability assigned, so the advice is best read as a strong lean rather than a certainty. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Hebar leads on form (80 versus 20), attack (81 versus 19), Poisson (85 versus 15), head-to-head (64 versus 36), goals (63 versus 38) and total (72.20 versus 28.00), although the defence gap is noticeably narrower at 60 versus 40. The team analysis supports the same direction but with caveats: Hebar's 10-match record of four wins, two draws and four losses is far from dominant, while Dobrudzha's single win, three draws and six losses, including no away wins, explains their low form score. Hebar's goals profile is also more productive, averaging 2.30 goals per game against Dobrudzha's 1.00, and Hebar have scored in every match while Dobrudzha have failed to score in six of ten. Both teams have conceded 17 goals, so the defensive records are level in aggregate, but Dobrudzha's away defensive average of 2.50 goals against is a clear weakness that Hebar's attack could exploit. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Hebar have won three of five, including a 5-0 away win at Montana and a 4-1 home win over Etar, while Dobrudzha have lost three of five and scored only three goals in that span. The head-to-head record is mixed across four meetings, with Hebar winning 2-0 at home in 2022 and Dobrudzha winning 1-0 at home in 2021, plus a 1-1 draw and a 2-1 Dobrudzha home win, so it does not strongly confirm the 64-36 split. Overall, the evidence consistently favours Hebar through form, attack and recent scoring, but the even home-draw probability split and Dobrudzha's occasional competitiveness in this fixture suggest the prediction should be treated as a plausible lean rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Predicted winner
Hebar 1918
Betting advice
Winner : Hebar 1918
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorHebar 1918Dobrudzha
Form80.0%20.0%
Attack81.0%19.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson85.0%15.0%
H2h64.0%36.0%
Goals63.0%38.0%
Total72.2%28.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Hebar 1918

Recent form: LLLWWDDLWW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Dobrudzha

Recent form: WDLLLDLDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Hebar 1918 2–0 Dobrudzha (30 Apr 2022)
  2. Dobrudzha 0–1 Hebar 1918 (30 Oct 2021)
  3. Hebar 1918 1–1 Dobrudzha (11 May 2021)
  4. Dobrudzha 2–1 Hebar 1918 (29 Nov 2020)
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