FA Trophy · England

Hayes & Yeading United vs Erith Town Prediction

Hayes & Yeading United badgeHayes & Yeading United vs Erith Town badgeErith Town

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Hayes & Yeading United as winner, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, leaving only 10% for Erith Town, so the advice is far from a clear-cut edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form is level at 50.00 for both sides and defence is identical at 50.00, while the only real separation comes from attack, at 64.00 for Hayes & Yeading against 36.00 for Erith Town. The Poisson, head-to-head and goals comparison columns all read 0.00, meaning those specific inputs contribute no differentiation here, and the head-to-head record is empty, so no historical fixture pattern can be used to support or challenge the pick. The broader totals do favour the home side, with 54.70 against 45.30, which is consistent with the attack gap but modest enough to sit awkwardly beside the level form and draw probability. Both teams arrive with a "WW" form string over two fixtures, yet the samples are tiny and uneven: Hayes & Yeading won once home and once away, including a 3-1 home win and a 0-4 away win, while Erith Town's two wins both came at home, by 2-0 margins. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast, as Hayes & Yeading average 3.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across their two games, whereas Erith Town average 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, so the home attack looks more prolific but the defensive records are effectively tied. The last-five records complicate the picture further, because Hayes & Yeading's sequence includes a 2-4 loss at Dartford and a 0-3 home loss to Hartley Wintney alongside three wins, while Erith Town's five show two wins, a draw and two defeats, including a 0-2 loss at SE Dons and a 1-3 loss at Margate. With no head-to-head data and no minute-level goal breakdowns available, the evidence supports the home winner only as a slight, uncertain lean rather than a strong conclusion, and the unusually high draw probability suggests the model itself sees the contest as close to even.

Predicted winner
Hayes & Yeading United
Betting advice
Winner : Hayes & Yeading United
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorHayes & Yeading UnitedErith Town
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total54.7%45.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Hayes & Yeading United

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 3.50 per match.

Erith Town

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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