Haugesund W vs LSK Kvinner W Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives LSK Kvinner W a 45% away win and Haugesund W only a 10% home win, with the draw also at 45%, so the advice of a draw-or-LSK double chance rests on a combined 90% versus a thin home tail. That output is not uniformly supported by the comparison metrics, since Haugesund actually lead form 67 to 33 and attack 55 to 45, while defence is level at 50-50, meaning the model is leaning on something other than recent shape. The Poisson and head-to-head columns resolve that tension: Poisson runs 70-30 to LSK and the single prior meeting, a 2-1 LSK home win in May 2026, gives h2h 100-0 to the visitors, though one match is a very small sample. Goals data also tilt away, with LSK at 67 versus Haugesund's 33, and the overall totals are nearly even at 47-53, which suggests the edge is narrower than the probabilities imply. Both teams' records are strikingly similar at four wins, three draws and nine defeats from 16, so the gap in the model comes from context rather than a clear class difference. Haugesund's defensive profile is the weakest signal here: 39 goals conceded at 2.40 per game, no clean sheets in 16, and 30% of those goals arriving after the 76th minute, which points to late vulnerability. LSK concede less overall at 1.90 per game and have kept three away clean sheets, yet their home defensive numbers are poor at 2.30 per game, and their last five show four defeats and a draw, including a 5-1 loss at Stabæk. Haugesund's last five are similarly grim with three losses and two draws, so neither side arrives in convincing form and the recent evidence does not strongly separate them. The head-to-head record is the only direct evidence available and it favours LSK, but with a single match it should be treated as suggestive rather than decisive. Overall, the double-chance advice looks reasonable given the draw and away probabilities, but the form, attack and goals-conceded figures for Haugesund at home keep a home result from being safely dismissed.

Predicted winner

LSK Kvinner W

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or LSK Kvinner W

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. LSK Kvinner W 2–1 Haugesund W (08 May 2026)