Hartlepool vs Tamworth Prediction

Match prediction

• Hartlepool's win probability equals the draw at 35%, so the double chance correctly hedges a genuinely uncertain home outcome.
• Tamworth's perfect recent form score contrasts with Hartlepool's winless run, yet the model still favours Hartlepool, suggesting form is downweighted here.
• Tamworth's away record of no wins and 3.5 goals conceded per away game undermines their strong overall form and supports avoiding an away-only bet.
• The head-to-head record is dominated by draws, with Hartlepool winning only once, which reinforces the draw component of the double chance.
• Hartlepool's attack is weak at 0.7 goals per game, so the home edge likely rests on Tamworth's leaky away defence rather than home scoring strength.
• Both teams' low-scoring profiles and the draw-heavy head-to-head make the Hartlepool-or-draw advice safer than backing a home win alone.

Predicted winner

Hartlepool

Betting advice

Double chance : Hartlepool or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Tamworth 1–1 Hartlepool (07 Feb 2026)
2. Hartlepool 1–1 Tamworth (27 Sep 2025)
3. Hartlepool 2–2 Tamworth (11 Feb 2025)
4. Hartlepool 1–1 Tamworth (10 Dec 2024)
5. Tamworth 0–1 Hartlepool (20 Aug 2024)