Norway · 3. Division - Girone 5
Harstad vs Skedsmo Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% Skedsmo split makes the double chance the logical expression of its uncertainty, since Harstad's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
- Skedsmo's superior defence and goal metrics align with the away-leaning probabilities, though Harstad's strong home record and recent scoring form keep the draw plausible.
- Harstad's attack and Skedsmo's attack are rated identically, so the edge comes from defence and overall goals, not from either side's scoring superiority.
- The +1.5 goals advice is supported by both teams' high over-1.5 rates, even though Harstad's home scoring and Skedsmo's away scoring differ sharply.
- The lone head-to-head meeting produced six goals and a home win, a small sample that supports goals but cautions against reading too much into the result.
- Skedsmo's recent form is stronger and more consistent, but Harstad's home wins and scoring output mean the draw component of the advice remains well justified.
- Predicted winner
- Skedsmo
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Skedsmo and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Harstad | Skedsmo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Harstad
Recent form: LWLDLLLWWDWDWWWWWWWWL.
Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.
Skedsmo
Recent form: WLWLWWWWWWWLWLWWWDWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Skedsmo 4–2 Harstad (19 Apr 2026)


