Norway · 3. Division - Girone 5

Harstad vs Skedsmo Prediction

Harstad badgeHarstad vs Skedsmo badgeSkedsmo

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% Skedsmo split makes the double chance the logical expression of its uncertainty, since Harstad's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
  • Skedsmo's superior defence and goal metrics align with the away-leaning probabilities, though Harstad's strong home record and recent scoring form keep the draw plausible.
  • Harstad's attack and Skedsmo's attack are rated identically, so the edge comes from defence and overall goals, not from either side's scoring superiority.
  • The +1.5 goals advice is supported by both teams' high over-1.5 rates, even though Harstad's home scoring and Skedsmo's away scoring differ sharply.
  • The lone head-to-head meeting produced six goals and a home win, a small sample that supports goals but cautions against reading too much into the result.
  • Skedsmo's recent form is stronger and more consistent, but Harstad's home wins and scoring output mean the draw component of the advice remains well justified.
Predicted winner
Skedsmo
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Skedsmo and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorHarstadSkedsmo
Form48.0%52.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson70.0%30.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total46.8%53.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Harstad

Recent form: LWLDLLLWWDWDWWWWWWWWL.

Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.

Skedsmo

Recent form: WLWLWWWWWWWLWLWWWDWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Skedsmo 4–2 Harstad (19 Apr 2026)
Loading interactive prediction…