Germany · Oberliga - Hamburg

Harksheide vs HEBC Prediction

Harksheide badgeHarksheide vs HEBC badgeHEBC

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% HEBC split makes the double-chance advice the coherent expression of a genuinely even contest.
  • Harksheide's stronger form and attack metrics conflict with HEBC's superior Poisson and head-to-head ratings, explaining why no single winner emerges.
  • HEBC's away scoring average of 1.80 against Harksheide's leaky 2.30 home defence supports HEBC avoiding defeat.
  • Harksheide's four draws in nine matches and recent 2-2 and 0-0 results reinforce the draw half of the double chance.
  • HEBC's four-match losing run and four scoreless games show why the model stops short of backing an outright away win.
  • Head-to-head history is tightly balanced with recent meetings decided narrowly, so the draw-or-HEBC cover absorbs that uncertainty.
Predicted winner
HEBC
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or HEBC
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorHarksheideHEBC
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson38.0%62.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals36.0%64.0%
Total46.8%53.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Harksheide

Recent form: LDLLDLWDD.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

HEBC

Recent form: LWLWLLLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Harksheide 2–1 HEBC (17 Apr 2026)
  2. HEBC 2–1 Harksheide (26 Oct 2025)
  3. HEBC 1–1 Harksheide (17 Apr 2025)
  4. Harksheide 1–3 HEBC (03 Sep 2024)
  5. Harksheide 0–2 HEBC (22 Mar 2024)
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