Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities make the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest.
• Tirat HaCarmel's superior form and attack ratings support the home side, though their three away matches leave home venue impact unverified.
• Umm al-Fahm's two draws in three matches and modest scoring suggest they can frustrate, reinforcing the draw component of the advice.
• The head-to-head record heavily favours Umm al-Fahm, a conflicting signal that tempers confidence in the home-leaning prediction.
• Both teams' small three-match samples and zero Poisson values mean the probabilities rest on limited evidence rather than established scoring models.
• Tirat HaCarmel's goals cluster late while Umm al-Fahm concede early, hinting at a competitive match that could remain undecided.

Predicted winner

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Betting advice

Double chance : Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (16 Jan 2026)
2. Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–5 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (24 Oct 2025)