Israel · Liga Alef

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Dimona Prediction

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda badgeHapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Dimona badgeDimona

Match prediction

  • Dimona's 45% win probability and superior form justify the double-chance advice, though the equal draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Dimona's three clean sheets and unbeaten away record contrast sharply with Mahane Yehuda's winless form, supporting the away-leaning prediction.
  • Mahane Yehuda's attack has produced just two goals in four games, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Dimona's heavy 1-5 home loss shows vulnerability, which explains why the model hedges with draw coverage rather than a straight away win.
  • Both teams' goal totals stay under 3.5 in every recent match, making the low-scoring expectation the most statistically consistent element.
  • The head-to-head record is perfectly split with two draws, supporting the draw protection embedded in the double-chance advice.
Predicted winner
Dimona
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Dimona and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorHapoel Mahane YehudaDimona
Form18.0%82.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

Recent form: DDLL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Dimona

Recent form: WWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Dimona 1–1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (23 Feb 2018)
  2. Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 4–1 Dimona (13 Oct 2017)
  3. Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2–4 Dimona (27 Apr 2017)
  4. Dimona 1–1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (30 Dec 2016)
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