Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Bnei Yehuda Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's existing output makes Bnei Yehuda the nominal winner at 45% with the same 45% assigned to the draw, leaving Hapoel Kfar Saba at only 10%; the recommended combo of Bnei Yehuda and +1.5 goals therefore rests on a narrow edge rather than a clear separation, since the draw carries identical probability to the away win.
• The comparison metrics broadly reinforce that away lean: Bnei Yehuda lead form 65 to 35, attack 58 to 42, defence 78 to 22 and Poisson 83 to 17, while the goals split is dead level at 50-50 and the total metric favours the away side 62 to 38. The one metric pointing the other way is head-to-head, where Hapoel Kfar Saba hold a 62 to 38 advantage, so the model's away preference is built on current-season indicators rather than historical matchup.
• The team records explain the form gap: Bnei Yehuda are unbeaten across six matches (WWWDWD, four wins, two draws, no losses) with only five goals conceded at 0.80 per game, whereas Hapoel Kfar Saba are LLWLWL with four defeats in six and 16 conceded at 2.70 per game. That defensive contrast is the strongest single support for the away side, though Kfar Saba's two clean sheets and one failed-to-score match show they are not entirely porous.
• The goals analysis adds nuance to the +1.5 leg: Bnei Yehuda average 2.50 goals scored and have gone over 1.5 in four of six matches, while Kfar Saba average 1.30 scored and 2.70 conceded, with their matches going over 2.5 only three times out of six. Kfar Saba also concede heavily late (43.75% of goals against in the 76-90 window), which could push the total past 1.5 even if the match stays competitive.
• The last-five records show the same pattern but with volatility: Bnei Yehuda have three wins and two draws, including 4-2 at Ironi Modi'in and 3-0 at Hapoel Acre, while Kfar Saba alternate wins and heavy defeats (2-0 over Maccabi Kiryat Gat and Maccabi Herzliya, but 6-1 at Hapoel Ra'anana and 4-1 at home to Ironi Modi'in). Kfar Saba's wins came with clean sheets, so their threat is concentrated rather than sustained.
• The head-to-head record is the main counterweight: across ten meetings Kfar Saba have three wins to Bnei Yehuda's three, with four draws, and the most recent fixture ended 3-1 to Bnei Yehuda away. Recent meetings have been tight (0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 1-1), which supports the elevated draw probability and suggests the 45-45 split between away win and draw is a fair reflection of a matchup where the away side's current form is offset by Kfar Saba's historical edge.

Predicted winner

Bnei Yehuda

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Bnei Yehuda and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Hapoel Kfar Saba 1–3 Bnei Yehuda (05 May 2026)
2. Bnei Yehuda 0–0 Hapoel Kfar Saba (09 Jan 2026)
3. Hapoel Kfar Saba 1–0 Bnei Yehuda (07 Sep 2025)
4. Bnei Yehuda 1–2 Hapoel Kfar Saba (09 May 2025)
5. Bnei Yehuda 1–1 Hapoel Kfar Saba (17 Jan 2025)