Israel · Liga Alef

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Hapoel Ironi Karmiel or draw

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel badgeHapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel badgeHapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Match prediction

  • The model's 50-50 split between home win and draw, with zero away probability, frames the advice as protection against the draw rather than a confident home pick.
  • Karmiel's unbeaten five-match record, including three draws, directly explains why the draw carries equal weight to a home victory.
  • Tirat HaCarmel's away-only profile shows two losses and two failures to score in four road games, supporting the exclusion of an away win.
  • Karmiel's defensive record of three goals conceded in five matches contrasts with Tirat's five conceded, tilting the underlying metrics toward the home side.
  • The head-to-head split of one draw and one away win for Karmiel offers only a small sample, so it reinforces rather than overrides the cautious double-chance advice.
  • Karmiel's goals cluster late while Tirat concedes frequently after the break, suggesting the match could stay level before a decisive home push.
Predicted winner
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Betting advice
Double chance : Hapoel Ironi Karmiel or draw
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorHapoel Ironi KarmielHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Form69.0%31.0%
Attack62.0%38.0%
Defence63.0%38.0%
Poisson77.0%23.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals80.0%20.0%
Total71.8%28.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Recent form: WWDDD.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Recent form: LWLD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1–1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (13 Feb 2026)
  2. Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0–3 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (10 Oct 2025)
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