Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the logical expression of its output, since a home win is rated only 10%.
- Rishon LeZion's superior form and defensive record, conceding just one goal per game, support the away side's inclusion in the advice.
- Afula's stronger attack and Poisson metrics conflict with the model's low home probability, suggesting the prediction leans on form and defence over scoring potential.
- The head-to-head record heavily favours Rishon LeZion, reinforcing the away-leaning double chance despite Afula's occasional home wins in this fixture.
- Both teams' recent matches show low-scoring tendencies, which supports the draw component of the double chance as a realistic outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Hapoel Rishon LeZion
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Hapoel Rishon LeZion
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Hapoel Afula | Hapoel Rishon LeZion |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Poisson | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| H2h | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Goals | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Hapoel Afula
Recent form: WWWLLDW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Recent form: WWWDWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–1 Hapoel Afula (02 Jan 2026)
- Hapoel Afula 0–3 Hapoel Rishon LeZion (01 Sep 2025)
- Hapoel Afula 0–1 Hapoel Rishon LeZion (04 Feb 2025)
- Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2–0 Hapoel Afula (06 Oct 2024)
- Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1–0 Hapoel Afula (25 Jul 2024)