Hammarby FF vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Vasteras's 10% away win probability is the clear outlier.
- Hammarby's superior defence rating and home head-to-head record support favouring them, though the draw's equal probability tempers outright confidence.
- Both teams' recent form and attack ratings are identical, which explains why the model splits its win-or-draw probability evenly rather than backing Hammarby alone.
- Vasteras's away form is notably weak, with no away wins and a 2.00 away goals-against average, reinforcing the case against an away victory.
- Hammarby's goals output skews toward the 1.5 to 2.5 range, supporting the +1.5 goals component without implying a high-scoring game.
- The head-to-head record favours Hammarby but includes a Vasteras away win, so the double chance appropriately hedges against that upset risk.
- Predicted winner
- Hammarby FF
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Hammarby FF or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Hammarby FF | Vasteras SK FK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Poisson | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| H2h | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Goals | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Hammarby FF
Recent form: DDLWWDW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Vasteras SK FK
Recent form: LLLDWWDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Hammarby FF 3–0 Vasteras SK FK (03 May 2026)
- Vasteras SK FK 1–0 Hammarby FF (10 Nov 2024)
- Hammarby FF 2–1 Vasteras SK FK (29 Apr 2024)
- Hammarby FF 1–2 Vasteras SK FK (17 Feb 2024)
- Hammarby FF 3–1 Vasteras SK FK (22 Sep 2022)