Haladás VSE vs Pápai Perutz Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans heavily toward Haladás VSE, assigning a 50% home win probability and a 50% draw probability while giving Pápai Perutz a 0% chance, which frames the advised "Combo Winner: Haladás VSE and +1.5 goals" as a confident but not risk-free position. That confidence is echoed across the comparison metrics, where Haladás dominate form (76 vs 24), attack (79 vs 21), defence (73 vs 27), Poisson (89 vs 11), head-to-head (80 vs 20), goals (75 vs 25) and the overall total (78.7 vs 21.3), suggesting the edge is broad rather than driven by a single dimension. The team analysis reinforces this, as Haladás are unbeaten in eight matches with six wins and two draws, including a six-match winning streak, while Pápai Perutz have lost four of eight and won only twice, with both wins coming at home. Haladás's goals profile is notably strong, averaging 3.00 goals scored and just 0.90 conceded per game, whereas Pápai Perutz average only 0.90 scored and 1.80 conceded, a gap that supports the +1.5 goals component of the advice. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Haladás have four wins and a draw with 16 goals scored and four conceded, while Pápai Perutz have one win, one draw and three defeats, including a 0-5 home loss to Puskás II and a 2-4 defeat at Komárom. However, the head-to-head record offers a cautionary note, since the most recent meeting in May 2026 ended 1-1 and the earlier fixture was a 2-0 Haladás home win, meaning Pápai Perutz have avoided defeat in one of the two encounters. The goals analysis also introduces some tension with the +1.5 advice, as Haladás have gone over 1.5 goals in only five of eight matches and Pápai Perutz in just two of eight, so the total-goals expectation is not overwhelming despite the attacking disparity. The 50% draw probability is another qualifier, implying the model sees a substantial chance of dropped points even though the away win probability is zero, which makes the "win or draw" flag being false somewhat inconsistent with the stated probabilities. Overall, the evidence points to a clear Haladás advantage in form, defence and overall output, but the small head-to-head sample and modest over-1.5 hit rates mean the advised combination carries more uncertainty than the lopsided comparison percentages alone suggest.

Predicted winner

Haladás VSE

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Haladás VSE and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Pápai Perutz 1–1 Haladás VSE (24 May 2026)
2. Haladás VSE 2–0 Pápai Perutz (09 Nov 2025)