NB III - Northeast · Hungary

Hajdúnánás vs Eger Prediction

Hajdúnánás badgeHajdúnánás vs Eger badgeEger

Match prediction

The existing model output gives Hajdúnánás a 50% home probability and Eger a 0% away probability, with the remaining 50% assigned to a draw, which is why the advice is a double chance on Hajdúnánás or draw rather than an outright home win. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Hajdúnánás leads on form (64.00 vs 36.00), attack (62.00 vs 38.00), defence (67.00 vs 33.00) and Poisson (66.00 vs 34.00), producing a total of 64.80 against 35.30, although the head-to-head, goals and total comparison fields are all populated with zeros and therefore carry no separating information. The broader team records qualify the home advantage: Hajdúnánás has 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats from 8 matches, while Eger has 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, so Eger's superior win count sits awkwardly beside its much weaker form and defensive scores. Recent form sharpens that conflict, since Hajdúnánás's last five read W-W-D-L-L with 3-0 wins over Mátészalka and Salgótarjáni BTC followed by a 0-1 home loss to Füzesabony and a 0-4 defeat at DEAC, while Eger's last five read W-L-D-L-L with a 2-1 win over Nyiregyhaza II, a 1-1 draw with Kisvárda II, a 2-5 loss at Debrecen II, a 0-4 loss at Gödöllő and a 0-3 home loss to Mátészalka. The goals analysis reinforces the home case on both sides of the ball, as Hajdúnánás averages 1.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per match compared with Eger's 1.10 scored and 1.90 conceded, and Hajdúnánás's away defensive figure of 2.60 conceded is inflated by a 4-0 and a 5-0-type collapse rather than by its home record of 1.30. Eger's scoring is heavily front-loaded, with 40% of its goals in the 0-15 minute band and 30% in the 16-30 band, so if it does threaten it may do so early, whereas Hajdúnánás spreads its goals more evenly and concedes 31.25% of its goals after the 76th minute, a late-game vulnerability that could keep the draw alive. Both teams have kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score in 3 (Hajdúnánás) and 2 (Eger) of 8 matches, and both have converted their only penalty, so neither side shows a decisive finishing edge. The head-to-head section is empty, meaning there is no historical record to confirm or contradict the model's lean, and the under-over field in the prediction is null, so no goals-market guidance accompanies the double chance. On balance, the form, attack, defence and Poisson splits point toward Hajdúnánás avoiding defeat, but the modest 50% home probability, the 50% draw share, Eger's higher win total and Hajdúnánás's late concessions mean the double chance should be read as a cautious hedge rather than a confident home verdict.

Predicted winner
Hajdúnánás
Betting advice
Double chance : Hajdúnánás or draw
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorHajdúnánásEger
Form64.0%36.0%
Attack62.0%38.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson66.0%34.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total64.8%35.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Hajdúnánás

Recent form: LLLWWDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Eger

Recent form: WWWWLDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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