Elitettan · Sweden
Häcken II W vs Jitex W Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward a draw-or-Jitex W double chance, with the probabilities split evenly at 45% for both the draw and an away win against only 10% for Häcken II W, so the advice is essentially a hedge against a home victory. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Jitex W dominate the Poisson projection 70 to 30 and the head-to-head weighting 93 to 7, while Häcken II W hold only a modest edge in form at 55 to 45. The attack and goals figures point the same way, with Jitex W rated 60 in attack against 40 and leading the goals comparison 68 to 32, though the defence scores are level at 50 apiece, which slightly tempers the case for a comfortable away result. The team analysis complicates the picture, because Jitex W's overall record is poor at two wins, one draw and sixteen defeats from nineteen, including a ten-match losing streak, whereas Häcken II W have six wins, five draws and eight losses, so the away side's superior metrics rest on a small recent sample rather than season-long strength. That recent sample is genuinely encouraging for Jitex W, whose last five include a 4-1 win at Örebro SK W and two draws, while Häcken II W have lost three of their last five, scoring just once in their two most recent defeats. The goals analysis adds nuance: Häcken II W average 1.30 goals for and 1.40 against, while Jitex W average only 0.90 for but concede 2.10, and Jitex W's concession pattern is heavily weighted to the opening and closing periods, which could expose them late. The head-to-head record is the strongest single strand supporting the advice, since Jitex W won the most recent meeting 1-0 and have two wins and a draw in the last five encounters, with Häcken II W's only recent success coming in 2023. Overall, the evidence broadly supports the draw-or-away double chance, but the conflict between Jitex W's weak season record and their stronger underlying metrics, combined with identical defensive ratings, means the 45% draw share looks like a reasonable reflection of genuine uncertainty rather than a firm away edge.
- Predicted winner
- Jitex W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Jitex W
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Häcken II W | Jitex W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| H2h | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Goals | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| Total | 35.7% | 64.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Häcken II W
Recent form: LLLLLLLLLLDLLLWLWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Jitex W
Recent form: LWDDLWLDLLWWWLLDLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Jitex W 1–0 Häcken II W (07 Aug 2026)
- Jitex W 3–3 Häcken II W (03 Oct 2025)
- Häcken II W 0–1 Jitex W (25 Apr 2025)
- Häcken II W 2–5 Jitex W (14 Aug 2023)
- Jitex W 5–2 Häcken II W (01 Jun 2023)


