NB III - Southeast · Hungary
Gyulai Termál vs Honvéd II Prediction
Final result: Gyulai Termál 3–2 Honvéd II (Match Finished)
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward a Gyulai Termál win or draw, with a 45% home win and an equal 45% draw probability leaving Honvéd II at just 10%, and the comparison metrics reinforce that tilt through form (68 versus 32), defence (86 versus 14), Poisson (100 versus 0) and head-to-head (75 versus 25). Gyulai Termál's team analysis shows a perfect eight wins from eight with no draws or defeats, six clean sheets and no match in which they failed to score, whereas Honvéd II's DLLLWDLW record of two wins, two draws and four losses is far more volatile. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast: Gyulai Termál average 3.80 goals scored and only 0.40 conceded, including 16 goals without reply at home, while Honvéd II average 1.90 scored but 1.50 conceded, with their away output collapsing to 0.30 goals per game and 2.30 against. That away split is the clearest qualification to the advice, because Honvéd II's two wins and both clean sheets came at home, and their three away fixtures produced no wins, two scoreless displays and a 3-0 defeat. The last-five records add nuance rather than pure confirmation, since Gyulai Termál's sequence includes a 4-1 away win and a 5-0 home win but also a 0-1 home loss to Szentlőrinc SE, while Honvéd II's most recent outing was a 3-0 home win over Újpest II yet their away form in that window reads 0-1 and 0-3 defeats. The head-to-head record is genuinely mixed across four meetings, with Gyulai Termál winning 1-0 and 2-0 at home but Honvéd II winning 2-0 at home and 4-0 in the 2024 fixture, so the 75-25 split reflects venue pattern as much as outright dominance. The attack comparison is the narrowest of the metrics at 57 versus 43, and Honvéd II's 8-1 home win shows they can score heavily when conditions suit, which is why the draw probability matches the home win rather than trailing it. Overall, the evidence supports the double-chance advice mainly through Gyulai Termál's defensive record and Honvéd II's away weakness, but the small four-match head-to-head sample and Honvéd II's occasional scoring bursts mean the 10% away probability looks more confident than the underlying data strictly warrants.
- Predicted winner
- Gyulai Termál
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Gyulai Termál or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Gyulai Termál | Honvéd II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Total | 68.4% | 31.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
Gyulai Termál
Recent form: WWWWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 3.80 per match.
Honvéd II
Recent form: DLLLWDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Gyulai Termál 1–0 Honvéd II (29 Mar 2026)
- Honvéd II 0–2 Gyulai Termál (07 Sep 2025)
- Gyulai Termál 2–0 Honvéd II (27 Apr 2025)
- Honvéd II 4–0 Gyulai Termál (13 Oct 2024)


